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Chapter2_MorePyMC/MorePyMC.ipynb

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"With regards to the above plot, we are still pretty uncertain about what the true frequency of cheaters might be, but we have narrowed it down to a range between 0.10 to 0.30 (marked by the dashed lines). This is pretty good, as *a priori* we had no idea how many students might have cheated (hence the uniform distribution for our prior). On the other hand, it is also pretty bad since there is a .2 length window the true value most likely lives in. Have we even gained anything, or are we still too uncertain about the true frequency? \n",
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"I would argue, yes, we have discovered something. It is implausbile, according to our posterior that there are *no cheaters*, i.e. the posterior assigns low probability probability to $p=0$. Since started with a uniform prior, so we gave every $p$ a plausible chance, but the data ruled out $p=0$ as a possibility. We can be confident that there were cheaters. \n",
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"I would argue, yes, we have gained something. It is implausbile, according to our posterior, that there are *no cheaters*, i.e. the posterior assigns low probability probability to $p=0$. Starting with a uniform prior, we gave every possible $p$ a plausible chance, but the data ruled out $p=0$ as a possibility. We can be confident that there were cheaters. \n",
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"This kind of algorithm can be used to gather private information from users and be *reasonablly* confident that the data, though noisy, is truthful. \n"
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Chapter3_MCMC/IntroMCMC.ipynb

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README.md

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- [Paul Magwene](http://github.com/pmagwene)
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- [Matthias Bussonnier](https://github.com/Carreau)
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- [Jens Rantil](https://github.com/JensRantil)
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- [y-p](https://github.com/y-p)
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We would like to thank the Python community for building an amazing architecture. We would like to thank the

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